Can Bitcoin Surpass $100k In January 2022? - Explaining S2FX Price Model.

Can Bitcoin Surpass $100k In January 2022? - Explaining S2FX Price Model.

2021-11-11 | Mike Hallen

Can Bitcoin Surpass $100k In January 2022? - Explaining S2FX Price Model.

Matthew Hyland believes that hitting $100,000 by the end of the year will trigger a massive PR war among high-volume investors. According to well-known analyst Matthew Hyland, Bitcoin (BTC) will invalidate one of its most well-known price models this cycle, as $1 million becomes a target for 2025. Hyland, who has built a dedicated following for his Bitcoin analysis over the years, projected that only one of the two stock-to-flow models will survive until 2022 in a series of tweets on Twitter. With $100,000 still a hefty but feasible end-of-year price for 2021, all eyes are on what lies beyond. New large-volume investors, according to Hyland, will be critical in determining how BTC price movement develops over the current halving cycle, which is expected to expire in 2024.

BTC/Usd 1 Year Price Chart- Source:

He claims that a massive public relations effort by these major companies would entice regular investors and that it will begin as soon as $100,000 is reached, supporting the stock-to-flow (S2F) model developed by quant analyst PlanB. Following that, the stock-to-flow cross-asset (S2FX) model, which predicts an average price of $288,000 this cycle, will provide a ray of hope for holders, but BTC/USD will eventually fail to reach that level. The campaign will not cease now that S2FX has been effectively "invalidated"; for 2025, the year after the start of the second halving cycle, apparently predicted to witness a new parabolic surge, the $1 million per bitcoin story will duplicate 2022. "The S2X ($288k) model will be invalidated, while the S2F ($100k) model, which projects Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2025, will stay intact," Hyland said. Hyland concluded by reaffirming a price projection for January 2022, which at current levels is difficult to comprehend: Bitcoin has surpassed the quarter-million-dollar mark. Others, too, are already looking beyond the present cycle. Bobby Lee, the former CEO of the BTCC exchange and now the developer of the Ballet Bitcoin wallet service, suggested that a $1 million Bitcoin price is all but certain by the 2030s. "Bitcoin will go through three more block reward halvings in the next ten years, by the end of 2031." This reduces the block reward to just 0.78 BTC for each block, resulting in a total daily fresh issuance of only 112.5 BTC. It'll be really hard to come by. He posted on Wednesday, "Hold on and HODL!"

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